Saturday, 2 May 2020


HAPPIEST MAKES THE BEST OF EVERYTHING LIKE YOU. WISHING A CHEERFUL WEEKEND AHEAD.

Macro Economic News 02 May 2020


This coronavirus crisis has things to teach us. We have clearly optimised the economy for efficiency rather than resilience. Investors are looking to the future, but should beware of over-optimism. Policymakers have eased stress in debt markets, but with long-lasting implications and as a result currency softens beyond key level as investors brace themselves for more interest rate cuts. After rolling out trillions of dollars in support for the U.S. economy, FED officials have begun warning of potentially lasting scars to the workforce and productivity if the recovery is not handled well. ECB intends to counter any surge in borrowing costs of Eurozone governments, indicating ECB will support its members such as Spain and Italy. ECB further pushes banks to lend to at ultra-low rates while Fed officials started to believe that an extended shutdown of the U.S. economy to address the crisis was ultimately unworkable—and could lead to lasting, deep damage whereas deluge of debt is already making corporate America riskier for investors. WHO recommends countries to lift lockdowns gradually, while still being "on the look-out" and ready to restore restrictions though Europe and the US and Asian nations have started relaxing restrictions. Singapore will start easing some curbs put in place over the next few weeks. India extends its nationwide lockdown for another two weeks allowing “considerable relaxations” in lower-risk districts marked as green and orange zones. Investments in Indian start-ups has tumbled 85% YoY and Indian Industry demands Rs 6 lakh cr stimulus package to mitigate impact of lockdown although farm incomes help beat EMI blues in rural India. Govt. has relaxed district-level clearance norms for MSME and may extend interest equalisation scheme for export sector although India may set to cap stimulus package at $60 billion to protect credit rating.

[I]  Top of Form
[I]  Top of Form
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[I]  Top of Form







Best Regards, ARBIND
02 May 2020

Friday, 1 May 2020


HERE COME THE DELIGHTFUL AND PLEASING MOMENT. WISHING A CHARMING WEEKEND AHEAD.

Macro Economic News 01 May 2020


The White House let its 2-week-old economic reopening guidelines expire on Thursday as half of all U.S. states forged ahead with their own strategies for easing restrictions on restaurants, retail and other businesses shuttered by the coronavirus crisis. The Main Street Lending Program, unveiled earlier this month, will now allow larger businesses to participate, and it will relax minimum-loan amounts to help more small businesses. Consumer spending, the U.S. economy’s key driver, fell 7.5% in March, the steepest monthly decline in records tracing back to 1959. Household incomes fell 2%. The huge first-quarter decline in Europe portends deep pain and wide economic divergences in 2020. Workers in Germany and Japan are likely to weather an expected global recession better than their U.S. peers, thanks in part to stronger job-retention programs, recent data suggest. The European Central Bank rolled out its cheapest ever loans for eurozone banks and said it would consider expanding a €750 billion bond-buying program, amplifying its firepower to contain the economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic. India's film industry, purveyor of song-and-dance spectacles to millions, will take at least two years to recover financially from the pandemic, which is threatening big-ticket projects, putting at risk tens of thousands of jobs. India is set to provide up to 100% credit guarantees for small business loans while eight infra industries’ growth contracts 6.5% during March.








Best Regards, ARBIND
01 May 2020


Thursday, 30 April 2020


THE GRACE, THE GLORY AND THE GRATITUDE – THE GATEWAY TO GOD. WISHING A SACRED DAY AHEAD.

Macro Economic News 30 Apr 2020


The head of the Federal Reserve dashed lingering hopes for a fast rebound from the pandemic, saying the U.S. economy could feel the weight of consumer fear and social distancing for a year or more in a prolonged climb from a deepening hole. The U.S. economy shrank at a 4.8% pace in the first quarter, the steepest contraction since the last recession. Factory activity in China expanded for a second straight month in April as more businesses resumed work from the shutdowns, but a worsening slump in export orders pointed to a long road to recovery for the embattled economy. Investors expect the European Central Bank to scale up its giant bond-buying program, possibly as soon as Thursday, as it seeks even more firepower to help support eurozone governments blunt the economic damage. UN warns more than 1bn informal workers face poverty while South Africa cut deeper into junk by S&P and as per Nomura India faces downgrade by Moody’s, change in outlook to negative by Fitch. The task force on National Infra Pipeline (NIP) submitted its final report to finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman, projecting total infrastructure investment of Rs 111 lakh crore during 2019-20 to FY25. Centre allows movement of stranded migrant workers, tourists and students. Nitin Gadkari says that Government is considering packages for sectors facing distress while Govt eyes ordinance route for Companies Act amendments and RBI may raise promoter cap in private banks.








MARKETS (10:00 am)
[I]  SGX NIFTY Fut: 9796;  USDINR DGCX: --;  DJIA Mini: 24770;  FTSE 100 Fut: 6175;  NIKKEI 225 Fut: 20320;  EUR-USD: 1.0859; Crude Oil (WTI): 17.28;  Gold (Spot): 1713

Best Regards, ARBIND
30 Apr 2020